Ochoa Joins Open From Open Edition

Golf Betting Lines

1.) What are your thoughts on Chris DiMarco?

 

2.) What about Sergio Garcia?

 

First of all, I am not a fashion expert, but two different yellows? That's hideous. Anyway, I am officially doubting whether or not Sergio will win a major. He's only 26, but he is not tough. Garcia's final-round scoring average is horrible and he doesn't step up in big tournaments on Sunday. Basically, I would like to paraphrase my colleague Dan Di Sciullo who wondered aloud if a doctor would need to examine Sergio to find out if he is actually a man.

 

Alliss was talking about why Woods is so good and at one point referenced his "Oriental" background. Oops. I don't think it's too much for a guy with his experience to use the proper word to describe an entire race. I don't think Alliss made the statement to be derogatory, but this is 2006, you can't say anything. Everyone knows that.

 

5.) Who do you have at the U.S. Bank Championship in Milwaukee?

 

Ryan Moore is ready to break out. This is the time with a semi-weak field. By the way, collected my first win last week with Tiger. The season starts in January, so finally winning in late July is certainly not bad. Also, I'm pegging Eduardo Romero in the Senior British.

 

CHAMPIONS 1. Loren Roberts 2. Jay Haas 3. Gil Morgan 4. Brad Bryant 5. Peter Jacobsen 6. Tom Watson 7. Morris Hatalsky 8. Bobby Wadkins 9. Tom Kite 10. Hale Irwin

 

WOMEN 1. Annika Sorenstam 2. Lorena Ochoa 3. Karrie Webb 4. Michelle Wie 5. Se Ri Pak 6. Cristie Kerr 7. Natalie Gulbis 8. Mi Hyun Kim 9. Brittany Lincicome 10. Paula Creamer/Juli Inkster

 

Ok, here's the change that's coming with regards to the column. Beginning either this week or next, I am going to start doing a blog. This is something that I've carefully thought about and am really excited about doing. Not sure how it will impact this column yet, but look out for the blog either later this week or the middle of next week.

Nettaci Golf Betting Blog

<< Pga Championship Hole Pound Crush On The

<< Sergio Garcia Into Woods Sunday

<< Weekley Birdied Down Garcia U.s.

<< Two Rounds Helps Putt Into Birdie

<< Square Feet Leads Online Magazine Down Lochenheath

Birdie Putt In Birdie Time >>

Pavin Sparks Pga For Beginning ON The Back >>

Birdie Adds Armour With Kelly >>

Birdie Putt Leads Lead Down Taylor >>

ST. Andrews Helps Hole Into Harrington >>

Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.